特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本週國際週報為您聚焦三大核心議題： 1. 美伊談判的虛實博弈：原定的大規模空襲為何在最後一刻叫停？川普宣稱的談判與伊拉克的否認之間，隱藏著哪些德黑蘭內部的權力鬥爭？ 2. 美日聯手干預日圓：30年來首見！日圓匯率跌至新低，美日為何在此時選擇聯手購置日圓？這背後涉及的能源價格與美債壓力該如何解讀？ 3. 西班牙移民危機與歐盟分裂：一場由非法人口販運網絡誤導的「修達游入」潮，為何引發了義大利等國的強烈反彈？極右翼勢力的崛起將如何重新定義歐盟的移民政策？ 歡迎訂閱、分享並留言討論您對本週局勢的看法。 Welcome to this week’s International Weekly Report. I am Professor Liu Jung. This episode focuses on three critical global developments: 1.The U.S.-Iran Negotiation Gambit: Why was the massive airstrike called off at the last minute? We analyze the conflicting narratives between Trump’s optimism and Tehran’s denial, and what it reveals about Iran’s internal power struggles. 2. Joint U.S.-Japan Intervention on JPY: For the first time in 30 years, Washington and Tokyo have joined forces to support the Yen. We break down the economic triggers—from interest rate gaps to energy costs—and the impact on U.S. Treasury bonds. 3. Spain’s Migration Crisis and EU Fragmentation: How a misinformation-fueled surge into Ceuta has sparked a diplomatic row within the EU. We explore how this crisis is empowering far-right movements and threatening the Schengen Agreement. Don't forget to subscribe, share, and leave your comments below! 影片章節： 00:00 開場與本週國際新聞概覽 00:15 中東情勢：川普叫停空襲與美伊談判的虛實博弈 03:32 油價反應與美軍戰略困境：誰能掌控戰爭節奏？ 05:05 經濟解析：30年首見！美日聯手干預日圓匯率 06:35 日圓跌勢分析：利差、國債與中東能源價格的衝擊 08:29 美日戰略友誼：從指責到聯手穩住日圓的背後邏輯 09:55 西班牙移民危機：修達（Ceuta）游入潮與假訊息引發的騷亂 12:11 歐盟分裂危機：申根協定爭議與極右翼勢力的崛起 13:53 總結與下週展望

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 在本週的國際週報中，劉必榮教授將為大家深度解析三項足以撼動全球政經格局的重大議題： 1. 美伊衝突的「戰與和」：川普如何在攻擊 13 天後突然喊停？波斯灣局勢是暫時冷卻，還是正在醞釀更大的風暴？ 2. AI 科技戰略與主權：從舊金山到上海，日、韓、中各國如何搶奪 AI 話語權？黃仁勳的身影如何貫穿這場主權 AI 競賽？ 3. 印度「蟑螂人民黨」抗爭：醫學院入學考試洩題引發 200 萬考生憤怒，為何這場自發性的全民抗爭能逼使傲慢的政府讓步、教育部長辭職？ [時間戳記] 0:00 本週國際焦點概覽 1:30 美伊局勢：川普的控制權與伊朗的強硬回擊 6:10 朝鮮半島變局：俄羅斯不再支持無核化的戰略考量 8:00 AI 戰略大會：日韓中三國的主權 AI 競賽與黃仁勳的關鍵角色 10:35 印度動盪：從醫學考試洩題到「蟑螂人民黨」全民抗爭 12:50 總結與展望 In this week's International Weekly Report, Professor Liu Bi-rong provides an in-depth analysis of three major global issues that are reshaping the geopolitical landscape: The US-Iran Standoff: Why did Trump suddenly call for a halt after 13 days of tension? We explore the strategic calculations behind this temporary cooling of the Persian Gulf "powder keg" and what it means for regional stability. Sovereignty AI & Global Strategy: From San Francisco to Seoul, countries like Japan and South Korea are racing for "AI Sovereignty." How is Jensen Huang’s influence shaping the global competition, and what role does AI play in the upcoming 2026 strategic elections? India’s "Cockroach People's Party" Protests: A massive scandal involving medical school entrance exam leaks has triggered a nationwide movement. Why did this spontaneous protest by 2 million students force a powerful government to retreat and the Education Minister to resign? [Timestamps] 0:00 Weekly Global Highlights Overview 1:30 US-Iran Relations: Trump’s Leverage and Iran’s Defiant Response 6:10 Shifts in the Korean Peninsula: Russia’s New Stance on Denuclearization 8:00 Global AI Summit: The Race for AI Sovereignty Among Japan, Korea, and China 10:35 Turmoil in India: From Exam Leaks to the Rise of the "Cockroach People's Party" 12:50 Summary and Future Outlook

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本週國際局勢波詭雲譎，劉必榮教授將為您深度拆解四大核心議題。首先關注美伊局勢，雙方是否已走到開戰邊緣？接著轉向歐洲，剖析烏克蘭最新政局演變及俄烏戰爭的後續走向；同時，英國政壇在大選後迎來新局，施凱安政府將面臨哪些挑戰？最後，針對近期舉行的「世界 AI 大會」，我們將分析科技競賽如何深刻影響未來的地緣政治與權力重組。 本集重點： 1. 美伊衝突： 局勢升溫，戰爭是否不可避免？ 2. 烏克蘭政局： 戰火下的內部變革與國際支援現況。 3. 英國大選後觀察： 工黨執政後的新政局與對外政策。 4. 世界 AI 大會： 科技巨頭與國家力量的博弈關鍵。 【English Description】 In this week's international news review, Professor Liu Bi-rong provides a deep dive into four critical global issues. We begin with the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran—are we on the brink of war? Moving to Europe, we analyze the latest political developments in Ukraine and the ongoing trajectory of the conflict. We also examine the post-election landscape in the UK and the challenges facing Prime Minister Keir Starmer's government. Finally, we look at the insights from the World AI Conference and how the tech race is reshaping global geopolitics and the balance of power. Key Highlights: 1. US-Iran Tensions: Escalation at sea and the risks of direct conflict. 2. Ukraine's Political Landscape: Internal dynamics amidst the ongoing war. 3. UK Post-Election Analysis: The Labor Party's new era and foreign policy shifts. 4. World AI Conference: The strategic intersection of technology and national power. 00:00 節目開場與本週焦點概述 00:13 【中東局勢】美伊衝突升溫： 約旦基地遇襲與美軍的強力報復行動 02:54 戰略主導權之爭： 談判還是全面開戰？各國調停進展分析 05:29 【烏克蘭局勢】內閣改組風暴： 國防部長下台引發的內部抗議與反貪風暴 08:31 【英國政局】新首相上台： 博南政府的挑戰、十年內政改革與外交新局 10:31 【科技外交】世界 AI 大會： 中國在上海成立合作組織，AI 如何重塑全球南方關係 12:52 AI 規則的全球博弈： 中美歐不同治理方案的碰撞與生態系統之爭 13:58 結語與下週展望

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 Most engaging 南海仲裁十週年，大國博弈進入新局？日本版「CIA」成立背後的情報野心 美伊談判現曙光還是陷阱？悼外交巨擘格蘭姆：他留給世界的最後一課 2026 全球關鍵轉折點：美伊外交較量、南海領土主權爭議與日本情資戰略 誰在主導中東局勢？南海爭端如何落幕？深度拆解本週影響世界的四大變數 In this week's international relations update, Professor Liu Bi-rong analyzes four pivotal events shaping the global landscape in July 2026. 1. Escalating Tensions in the Middle East: The U.S.-Iran negotiations are on the brink of collapse as the Strait of Hormuz faces renewed blockades. We examine the strategic ambiguity in past memorandums and why Iran is now playing its "Hormuz Card" more aggressively than ever. 2. The 10th Anniversary of the South China Sea Arbitration: Ten years after the historic ruling, the South China Sea remains a flashpoint of sovereignty disputes. We discuss the recent joint statements from 14 nations, China's "historical rights" defense, and the implications for Taiwan's Taiping Island. 3. Japan's Intelligence Revolution: Japan is set to establish a centralized intelligence agency by December, modeled after the CIA. Amid reports of foreign espionage activities within its borders, what does this move mean for regional security and Japan's domestic civil liberties? 4. The Passing of Senator Lindsey Graham: The sudden death of the influential Republican Senator leaves a void in U.S. foreign policy. We reflect on his transition into a staunch Trump ally and his unwavering support for Ukraine. 00:00 - 影片開場與本週國際局勢概覽 00:15 - 【美伊談判與波斯灣局勢】 荷姆茲再度封鎖，談判陷入破局邊緣 01:40 - 川普政府的強硬反應：接管海峽與加收「保護費」的爭議 02:11 - 外交博弈分析：為何當初的談判被忘錄會留下衝突伏筆？ 03:20 - 伊朗的戰略轉向：將霍爾木茲海峽視為比核武更有力的外交王牌 05:58 - 【南海仲裁案十週年】 歷史回顧與 2026 年的國際法律效力爭議 07:23 - 太平島是島還是礁？解析南海裁決對兩岸主權主張的影響 08:02 - 14 國聯合聲明與中國「歷史權利」的對峙，中日外交官相互抗議 10:06 - 【日本情治體系大變革】 12 月即將掛牌：日本為何要成立中央情報組織？ 11:04 - 俄國間諜在日活動頻繁，揭開日本反情報能力脆弱的現況 12:12 - 日本內部的擔憂：情報力量擴張是否會侵犯人權？ 12:47 - 【傳奇外交人物逝世】 悼念美參議員格蘭姆（Lindsey Graham） 13:10 - 從反川普到鋼鐵川粉：格蘭姆對烏克蘭與美中政策的深遠影響 13:56 - 總結與下週展望

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 [本週國際新聞重點回顧】 2026 年 7 月，全球地緣政治局勢再度升溫。劉必榮教授將在本次週報中，為您深度拆解本週影響深遠的三大國際事件： 1. 中共遠程導彈試射： 此次試射在亞太區域投下了震撼彈，其背後的戰略意圖是單純的演習，還是對印太戰略的強硬回應？ 2. 日印外交新高峰： 日本與印度在峰會中達成多項防務合作，這股「印太新勢力」將如何重塑區域權力平衡？ 3. 俄烏戰爭局勢更新： 戰場形勢變化莫測，北約的最新動作與無人機技術的應用，如何左右接下來的談判筹碼？ [Weekly International News Summary] In July 2026, global geopolitical tensions have escalated once again. In this week's report, Professor Liu Pi-jung provides an in-depth analysis of three pivotal international events: 1. China's Long-Range Missile Test: A strategic move that has sent shockwaves through the Indo-Pacific. What are the underlying intentions behind this display of power? 2. Japan-India Diplomatic Milestone: New defense collaborations between Japan and India are forming. How will this "Indo-Pacific Alliance" reshape the regional balance of power? 3. Ukraine War Update: With the battlefield evolving rapidly, we analyze how NATO’s latest support and advancements in drone warfare are impacting the prospects for future negotiations. #國際新聞 #劉必榮 #2026局勢 #俄烏戰爭 #中共試射 #日印關係 #地緣政治 #InternationalNews #Geopolitics

#特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本週國際局勢在多個戰線展現出極高的不確定性。劉必榮教授將為您深入分析三大關鍵議題： 1. 美伊談判的「脆弱平衡」：儘管雙方達成和平協議，但文字內容含糊不清，導致執行過程中衝突不斷。從荷姆茲海峽的貨輪受襲到美軍的報復行動，這場「邊打邊談」的博弈背後，各方的政治盤算為何？ 2. 俄烏戰爭的「科技翻轉」：烏克蘭利用中長程無人機深入打擊俄羅斯內部能源設施，並透過影響白俄羅斯的情報中繼站，試圖將戰爭痛感傳導至俄羅斯本土，戰場形勢是否會因此翻轉？ 3. 中日關係的「立體對峙」：中方將20家日本實體列入出口管制名單，加上雙方在西太平洋的海空軍事巡航與防空識別區的佈局，中日衝突正從經貿領域延伸至全方位的戰略對抗。 章節時間軸： 00:00 美伊談判：脆弱協議下的衝突螺旋 05:33 俄烏戰局：無人機戰略與白俄羅斯的角色 10:19 中日對峙：出口管制與海空戰略佈局 [English Description] Global tensions reached new heights this week across multiple fronts. Professor Liu Bi-rong provides an in-depth analysis of three critical geopolitical shifts: 1. The "Fragile Balance" of US-Iran Talks: Despite a peace agreement, vague wording has led to a cycle of attacks and retaliations in the Strait of Hormuz. We explore the internal political motives keeping this fragile deal from collapsing. 2. Technological Shifts in Ukraine: Ukraine's strategic use of long-range drones to strike Russian energy infrastructure and its pressure on Belarus's relay stations are bringing the reality of war closer to the Russian public. Can technology flip the battlefield? 3. The China-Japan Standoff: From export controls on Japanese entities to increased naval and aerial patrols in the West Pacific, the conflict between China and Japan is evolving into a multi-dimensional strategic confrontation. #國際新聞 #劉必榮 #美伊談判 #俄烏戰爭 #中日關係 #無人機 #地緣政治 #和風書院

#特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本週國際新聞重點解析： 1. 英國政局大地震：英國首相斯凱爾（Keir Starmer）正式宣布辭職，回歸家庭。雖然宣稱奮戰到底，卻在短短一週內因地方選舉大敗與黨內逼宮而下台。下任首相熱門人選是誰？「博南時代」即將開啟嗎？ 2. 美伊談判現曙光：6月21日在瑞士的高階談判達成初步框架。美方釋出 60 億資產解凍與石化產品豁免作為誘因，換取伊方讓國際原子能總署人員重返，並在荷姆茲海峽設立熱線，避免誤判。 3. 拉丁美洲政治右轉：哥倫比亞大選結果出爐，走川普路線的右派候選人艾斯普雷亞勝出。結合阿根廷、智利、秘魯等國趨勢，解析拉美政治版圖為何發生大規模轉向。 #英國首相 #美伊談判 #拉丁美洲 #國際新聞 #劉必榮 #地緣政治 #2026國際週報 [English Description] Global News Highlights of the Week: 1. UK Political Shake-up: Prime Minister Keir Starmer has officially resigned following a crushing local election defeat and mounting internal pressure. We analyze the reasons behind his sudden departure and the potential rise of the "Burnham Era." 2. US-Iran Negotiation Breakthrough: High-level talks in Switzerland have established a new framework. With $6 billion in assets unfrozen and oil export waivers on the table, can a "hotline" in the Strait of Hormuz prevent further conflict? 3. Latin America’s Rightward Shift: Colombia’s election of right-wing Espreilla marks a significant turn in regional politics. We explore why countries like Argentina, Chile, and Peru are collectively shifting toward conservative leadership. #UKPolitics #USIranTalks #LatinAmerica #InternationalNews #Geopolitics #GlobalTrends2026

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 歡迎收看【和風書院】國際新聞週報！本期由東吳大學政治系劉必榮教授，為您深度盤點上週全球最震撼的兩大國際博弈局勢。 第一大焦點：美國與伊朗在 6 月 14 日（恰逢川普 80 歲生日）共同宣布達成歷史性的初步停火協議，並預計於 6 月 19 日在日內瓦正式簽署《伊斯蘭馬巴德諒解備忘錄》。這項協議背後有哪些具體條件？為何讓以色列國內全面「炸鍋」強烈反對？ 第二大焦點：G7 峰會前夕的外交大縱橫。川普出訪法國，卻因「數位服務稅」與法國總統馬克宏隔空交火、揚言加徵葡萄酒關稅；與此同時，日本首相高市早苗外交動作頻頻，出訪英、意，串聯起日、英、意三國共同研發下一代戰鬥機的軍事同盟新格局！ 精彩內容不容錯過，歡迎訂閱、按讚並分享，掌握第一手全球戰略局勢！ 📌 影片重點時間軸： [00:00:12] - 美國與伊朗達成初步停火協議（背景與宣布時機） [00:01:18] - 《伊斯蘭馬巴德諒解備忘錄》三大核心內容：延長停火、重啟荷姆茲海峽與資產解凍 [00:03:31] - 核心棘手問題：伊朗核武提煉濃度限制與後續60天談判挑戰 [00:05:20] - 以色列強烈反對！中東海外代理人與飛彈威脅未解，內塔尼亞胡遭國內抨擊 [00:07:53] - 川普出訪法國參加 G7 峰會：美法數位服務稅與葡萄酒貿易戰角力 [00:10:53] - 日本首相高市早苗極度活躍！出訪英、意，串聯日、英、意新一代戰機軍事合作 #美國伊朗停火 #中東局勢 #川普 #G7峰會 #高市早苗 #國際政治 #軍事同盟 #和風書院 #劉必榮教授 Welcome to the International News Weekly Report by Hefeng Academy! In this episode, Professor Liu Bi-Rong from the Department of Political Science at Soochow University delivers a deep-dive analysis of last week's two most critical global geopolitical events. 🔥 Focus 1: US-Iran Historic Truce On June 14—coincidentally on Donald Trump’s 80th birthday—the US and Iran jointly announced a landmark preliminary ceasefire. The official "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" is set to be signed in Geneva on June 19. What are the key terms regarding the Strait of Hormuz and frozen assets? And why has this triggered a massive political backlash and protests within Israel? 🔥 Focus 2: Diplomatic Maneuvers Ahead of the G7 Summit President Trump arrives in France for the G7 Summit, but a trade row looms over France's "Digital Services Tax," with Trump threatening a 100% tariff on French wine. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi embarks on a highly active diplomatic tour to the UK and Italy, forming a quasi-alliance for the joint development of next-generation fighter jets. Don't miss this comprehensive strategic breakdown. Subscribe, like, and share to stay updated on global affairs! 📌 Key Timestamps: [00:00:12] - US and Iran announce preliminary ceasefire agreement. [00:01:18] - Key terms of the Islamabad MOU: 60-day extension, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. [00:03:31] - The nuclear dispute: Uranium enrichment limits and upcoming negotiation challenges. [00:05:20] - Israel's fierce opposition: Why Netanyahu faces domestic backlash over the deal. [00:07:53] - Trump attends G7 in France: The Digital Services Tax vs. Wine Tariff dispute. [00:10:53] - Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi's active diplomacy: Japan-UK-Italy joint fighter jet project. #USIranTruce #MiddleEastGeopolitics #Trump #G7Summit #SanaeTakaichi #InternationalRelations #MilitaryAlliance #HefengAcademy

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 這部影片以深入淺出的方式分析了三項當前國際社會的重要事件，強調外交策略與地緣政治的複雜性： 1. 習近平訪問北韓：強化盟友與地緣博弈 [00:14] 核心背景： 習近平於 6 月 8 日至 9 日訪問北韓，這是繼 2019 年後再度出訪，旨在藉由《中朝友好合作互助條約》簽訂 65 週年之際，強化兩國關係 [01:02]。 戰略意圖： 面對北韓與俄羅斯關係日益緊密，以及北韓核武發展、放棄與南韓統一的強硬政策，中國希望展現其在東北亞局勢中的影響力，作為與美國談判的外交籌碼 [02:36], [03:15]。 隱憂： 儘管雙方強調高層交流，但對於北韓核武問題，中方態度模糊，北韓則顯露進一步發展核威懾的堅決立場 [04:34], [05:04]。 2. 中東戰火升溫與以色列的諜報行動 [05:42] 衝突升級： 6 月 7 日以色列空襲黎巴嫩真主黨總部，引發伊朗導彈反擊，局勢持續緊張 [05:51]。 外交僵局： 美國試圖居中協調停火，但因談判未納入直接威脅以色列的「真主黨」，效果有限 [07:02], [07:28]。 諜報角力： 美國情報單位發現以色列近期針對美國政府內部的監聽活動頻繁，涉及國防與中共政策相關官員，導致美以雙邊互信遭受嚴峻考驗 [08:05], [08:45]。 3. 教宗訪問西班牙：傳統信仰與當代社會裂痕 [09:56] 宗教與政治： 教宗時隔 15 年訪問西班牙，面對該國左、右兩派對教廷政策的極大分歧 [10:00]。 移民爭議： 西班牙政府提議將非正式移民合法化，獲得教會支持，卻遭到右派激烈抨擊，認為教會立場受金錢利益驅使，凸顯了政教之間的緊張關係 [11:36], [12:15]。 Video Summary (English) In this insightful episode, Professor Liu Rong provides an in-depth analysis of three critical geopolitical events shaping the current global landscape: 1. Xi Jinping’s Visit to North Korea: Strategic Alignment and Regional Influence Context: President Xi Jinping visited North Korea on June 8-9, marking his first visit since 2019. The trip aims to strengthen bilateral ties on the 65th anniversary of the China-North Korea Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation, and Mutual Assistance. Geopolitical Strategy: Amidst North Korea’s deepening ties with Russia and its hardline stance against South Korea, China seeks to reaffirm its influence in Northeast Asia, using the relationship as leverage in negotiations with the U.S.. Key Challenges: While China emphasized high-level dialogue, the issue of North Korean denuclearization remains unresolved, with North Korea doubling down on its nuclear capabilities. 2. Escalation in the Middle East and Israeli Espionage Conflict Dynamics: Tensions peaked on June 7 after Israel’s airstrike on the Hezbollah headquarters in Beirut, followed by retaliatory missile strikes from Iran. Diplomatic Hurdles: U.S. mediation efforts have been complicated by the exclusion of Hezbollah from ceasefire talks, despite the group’s central role in the conflict. Intelligence Crisis: Tensions between the U.S. and Israel have been exacerbated by reports of intensified Israeli espionage targeting U.S. defense and policy officials, testing the limits of their alliance. 3. The Pope’s Visit to Spain: Faith and Societal Divides Religious Diplomacy: Pope Francis concluded a seven-day visit to Spain—his first in 15 years—spotlighting the deep political and ideological fractures within Spanish society. Migration Controversy: A clash between the Church and right-wing groups has emerged over the government’s proposal to legalize undocumented immigrants. The Church’s support for the policy has drawn harsh criticism from the right, who allege the Church is motivated by financial interests, further highlighting the tension between the state and the Vatican.

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 【本週國際焦點：香格里拉大國交鋒、美伊博弈新賽局與印太防務升級】 歡迎收看《和風書院》一週國際新聞評論！本週由台北東吳大學政治學系劉必榮教授，為您精闢解析全球與地緣政治的最新轉折： 📌 重點一：香格里拉對話——印太防務的大國角力場 剛在新加坡閉幕的香格里拉對話（Shangri-La Dialogue）成為全球焦點。各國防務高層與學者齊聚，針對南海主權、台海局勢以及大國對抗展開了激烈的言辭交鋒。美中兩國在會中的互動與各國防長的表態，究竟釋放出哪些強烈的戰略信號？這場對話又將如何影響未來的印太安全架構？ 📌 重點二：美伊談判的「中程協議」與多方角力 近期美國與伊朗的談判訊息顯得相當矛盾。伊朗方面雖以「以色列持續攻擊黎巴嫩」為由宣布暫時中斷談判，但路透社報導指出，伊朗的真實策略是推動一個「有限度的中程協議」。這項協議旨在分階段前進、為雙方爭取時間並緩和經濟壓力。這場看似拖延的「緩兵之計」背後，究竟是真正的突破還是雙方鷹派的互相博弈？ 📌 重點三：日菲升級「全面戰略夥伴」與呂宋經濟走廊 目光轉向亞洲，菲律賓總統小馬可仕（Ferdinand Marcos Jr.）出訪日本。雙方正式將關係提升為「全面戰略夥伴關係」，並簽署實質性的軍事協議。日本將全力協助菲律賓提升海軍反潛與海上防衛能力，並透過強化「呂宋經濟走廊」鞏固兩國合作。這項美日菲體系下的防務大動作，將如何重塑南海與亞洲的新局勢？ #劉必榮 #香格里拉對話 #國際新聞 #美伊談判 #日菲關係 #地緣政治 #呂宋經濟走廊 #和風書院 📌 Focus 1: Shangri-La Dialogue — Clashes and Alignments in Indo-Pacific Defense The newly concluded Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore has once again become the epicenter of global security discussions. With defense chiefs gathering to debate volatile issues surrounding the South China Sea, Taiwan Strait, and major power competitions, what critical strategic signals were sent during these high-level confrontations? Prof. Liu analyzes the evolving security framework of the Indo-Pacific. 📌 Focus 2: The Paradox of US-Iran Negotiations & "Medium-Range" Strategy Recent updates on US-Iran negotiations present a complex picture. While Iran initially cited Israeli actions in Lebanon to suspend talks, reports suggest Tehran’s underlying strategy is to implement a phased, limited "medium-range protocol" to ease economic pressure and buy domestic time. Is this a genuine effort toward diplomacy, or merely a stalling tactic among hardliners? 📌 Focus 3: Asia Geopolitics — The Japan-Philippines Strategic Alliance Shifting to regional alliances, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s state visit to Japan marks a historic milestone. Upgrading their relations to a "Comprehensive Strategic Partnership," both nations have forged a de facto military agreement. With Japan boosting the Philippine Navy’s maritime defense capabilities and reinforcing the "Luzon Economic Corridor," how will this pact reshape Asia's security landscape? 🎬 Watch now for the most authoritative insights into world affairs! #ShangriLaDialogue #GlobalNews #USIranTalks #JapanPhilippines #Geopolitics #LuzonEconomicCorridor #HofengAcademy

特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本週國際局勢高潮迭起，從中東的談判桌、南亞的外交博弈，到梵蒂岡的道德精神喊話，皆環環相扣。本期節目為您精闢解析三大焦點： 🚢 焦點一：美伊談判進入關鍵「分階段」博弈 美伊雙方於卡達展開深入協商，初步擬定「分階段」停火與和談架構。協議關鍵在於簽署30天內，伊朗須負責掃除障礙並全面開放荷姆茲海峽供全球船隻免費通行；同時，雙方將4月簽署的停火協議延長60天，以針對伊朗核子方案（如將濃縮鈾暫存第三方國家）進行實質協商。然而，美方堅持先看到海峽開放、伊朗則要求先解凍海外資產，雙方正陷入細節攻防。 🇮🇳 焦點二：國務卿盧比歐訪印，展開「損害控制」 美國國務卿盧比歐（Marco Rubio）展開為期4天的訪印行程，並出席印太四國（Quad）外長會議。在川普總統接連致電日韓元首、訪問北京，卻唯獨「冷落」了印度總理莫迪，且將「對台軍售」視為籌碼後，印度地緣戰略陷入焦慮。盧比歐此行關鍵在於修補因美印關稅戰、美國與巴基斯坦升溫而受損的夥伴關係，但印度在川普心中究竟還有多少分量，仍待觀察。 🇻atican 焦點三：教宗良十四世最新發言的國際啟示 作為史上首位美籍教宗，良十四世（Pope Leo XIV）本週針對國際局勢發表了重要談判與和平發言。在美伊戰火陰影、美中角力、俄烏戰爭延伸的緊繃世局下，教宗從宗教與人道主義出發，對衝突各方提出和平呼籲。他的發言不僅折射出天主教會在當前地緣政治中的調停角色，也為動盪的2026年注入一劑理性與慈悲的催化劑。 究竟這三件國際大事將如何重塑全球新格局？請鎖定本期的精闢解析！ 📌 English Version (Content Overview) 【Hello everyone, I’m Liu Birong, Professor of Political Science at Soochow University in Taipei.】 This week’s geopolitical landscape is highly dynamic, spanning across Middle Eastern negotiation tables, South Asian diplomatic maneuvers, and spiritual appeals from the Vatican. We break down three major international stories: 🚢 Focus 1: US-Iran Negotiations Enters "Phased" Framework The US and Iran are ironing out a phased ceasefire architecture in Qatar. The core condition requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for free global transit within 30 days of signing. Simultaneously, the April ceasefire is extended by 60 days to allow for substantive talks regarding Iran’s nuclear program. However, a standoff remains over the sequence of actions: Iran demands asset thawing first, while the US demands immediate maritime opening. 🇮🇳 Focus 2: Secretary of State Rubio’s Mission of "Damage Control" in India US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in India for a 4-day visit to attend the Quad Foreign Ministers' Meeting. Following Trump's visit to Beijing, calls to leaders in Japan and South Korea, and hinting at using Taiwan arms sales as leverage, New Delhi has felt sidelined. Rubio’s visit is primarily aimed at repairing a partnership strained by tariff disputes and Washington's warming ties with Pakistan. 🇻atican Focus 3: Global Implications of Pope Leo XIV’s Latest Speech As the historic first American Pope, Leo XIV issued a pivotal statement regarding global conflicts and the pursuit of peace. Amidst the US-Iran friction and ongoing global polarizations, the Pope’s address highlights the Vatican's distinct moral authority and diplomatic mediation role, urging world leaders toward rationality and compassion in a turbulent 2026. How will these three major events reshape the new geopolitical order? Tune in to this week's analysis to find out!

#特級優惠方案 ： 風林火山｜劉必榮的致勝思維講座 https://sat.cool/course/15 1000元折扣碼:談判1000 本集節目由東吳大學政治系劉榮教授為您回顧上週（2026年5月）的重要國際政經新聞。從美中高層互動到中東地緣政治危機，帶您深度剖析大國博弈下的全球局勢變化與對台灣的影響。 📌 本集重點時間軸： [00:15] 川習會與中美關係： 美國總統川普再度訪問北京，雙方確立「建設性戰略穩定關係」。分析川普將「對台軍售」視為談判籌碼對台灣安全帶來的警訊，以及中美雙方在農產品與航空貿易上的口頭承諾。 [03:42] 美伊衝突與中東局勢： 針對中東危機，川普原訂發動軍事攻擊，後因周邊海灣國家斡旋而暫緩。伊朗軍方則威脅切斷荷莫茲海峽的海底通訊電纜，為全球政經局勢與後續談判投下震撼彈。 [07:12] 普丁訪華與中俄能源合作： 俄羅斯總統普丁出訪中國，主要針對「西伯利亞力量二號」天然氣管道進行經濟協商。探討在歐美制裁與中東戰爭背景下，中俄雙方如何在能源與貿易上深化相互依賴。 [10:19] 日韓領袖峰會： 日本首相高市早苗前往韓國安東市，與韓國總統李在明舉行峰會。雙方針對中東戰爭引發的能源危機、供應鏈安全進行討論，並探討日韓聯手援助東南亞國家的可能性。 [12:42] 韓國發表「2026統一白皮書」： 面對北韓將韓國定義為「另一個國家」，韓國正式發布白皮書，推動「以統一為方向的和平兩國關係」，重新定位兩韓的特殊政治實體關係。 影片說明 (Description)： In this episode, Professor Liu Rong from the Department of Political Science at Soochow University reviews major international news events from the past week (May 2026). From high-level US-China interactions to geopolitical crises in the Middle East, we explore the shifting global landscape and its implications for Taiwan and the world. 📌 Key Highlights & Timestamps: [00:15] The Trump-Xi Summit & US-China Relations: U.S. President Donald Trump visits Beijing, establishing a "constructive and strategically stable relationship." Prof. Liu analyzes the warning signs for Taiwan as arms sales become a bargaining chip, alongside verbal trade commitments regarding agriculture and aviation. [03:42] US-Iran Tensions & Middle East Crisis: Trump pauses a threatened military strike on Iran following mediation by Gulf states. Meanwhile, Iran threatens to sever submarine communication cables in the Strait of Hormuz, introducing new variables to global geopolitics and negotiations. [07:12] Putin’s Visit to China & Energy Cooperation: Russian President Vladimir Putin visits China to negotiate the "Power of Siberia 2" natural gas pipeline. The segment explores how China and Russia are deepening economic and energy reliance amidst Western sanctions and the Middle East conflict. [10:19] Japan-South Korea Summit: Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi meets South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Andong. The leaders discuss energy crises caused by the Middle East war, supply chain security, and potential joint initiatives to support Southeast Asian nations. [12:42] South Korea's 2026 Unification White Paper: In response to North Korea redefining the South as a separate state, South Korea releases a new white paper shifting cross-border ties toward a "peaceful two-state relationship with unification as a direction."